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Why a computer program cannot pick a model for you
The goal of nonlinear regression is to fit a model to your data. The program finds the best-fit values of the variables in the model (perhaps rate constants, affinities, receptor number, etc.) which you can interpret scientifically. Choosing a model is a scientific decision. You should base your choice on your understanding of chemistry or physiology (or genetics, etc.). The choice should not be based solely on the shape of the graph. Some programs (not available from GraphPad Software) automatically fit data to hundreds or thousands of equations and then present you with the equation(s) that fit the data best. Using such a program is appealing because it frees you from the need to choose an equation. The problem is that the program has no understanding of the scientific context of your experiment. The equations that fit the data best are unlikely to correspond to scientifically meaningful models. You will not be able to interpret the best-fit values of the variables, and the results are unlikely to be useful for data analysis. This approach can be useful in some situations (when you want a smooth curve, but don't care about models). Don't use this approach when the goal of curve fitting is to fit the data to a model based on chemical, physical, or biological principles. Don't use a computer program as a way to avoid understanding your experimental system, or to avoid making scientific decisions. |
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